Here are the results of our 2019 Western States 100 Prediction Contest. This year we had our second-highest-ever number of prediction-contest entrants at over 1,350.
Thank you again to Drymax, Hoka One One, Buff, Julbo, Altra, Maggie Tides Design, GU, and Squirrel’s Nut Butter for providing the great prizes for the contest. Without them, the only thing to come out of the contest would be bragging rights. On to the winners!
- Jerico Leandro Cortado (10 points) is this year’s grand-prize winner with his score evenly split between women and men. On the women’s side, he correctly predicted Kaytlyn Gerbin in sixth, Nicole Bitter in seventh, and Kathryn Drew in eighth. Jerico had two exact picks on the men’s side: Jim Walmsley for the win and Tom Evans in third.
- David Bresnahan (11 points) took second place by way of the third tiebreaker, a coin flip! Aside from the same picks for the men’s and women’s winners as third-place Jeremy Lakebrink, both had the same gender point breakdown: 3 for the men and 8 for the women. David was spot on in picking Kaci Lickteig as third woman, Jim Walmsley to win for the men, and Matt Daniels to be fourth man.
- Jeremy Lakebrink (11 points) took third on the third tiebreak. David’s strength was on the men’s side where he had a superfecta: picking Jim Walmsley, Jared Hazen, Tom Evans, and Matt Daniels to finish first through fourth in exact order! While David didn’t have a single exact pick correct on the women’s side, each of his five scoring women’s picks were within two spots of the runner’s actual finish.
Matthew Hoadley is our random grand-prize winner for which he gets the same loaded prize pack as Jerico minus the art.
Men’s Predictions
Billy Walsh and Alex Nichols both had perfect scores on the men’s side. Billy picked the trifecta with Walmsley, Hazen, and Evans on the podium and then Mark Hammond in fifth and Patrick Reagan in eighth. And, get this, Alex had the same five runners spot on! While not counting in the official scoring, Alex edged out Billy for the 8-man total of 30 to 33. Both picked David Laney for fourth, but Alex had Kyle Pietari in sixth and Jeff Browning for seventh as opposed to Billy’s Chris Mocko and Matt Daniels in sixth and seventh.
Women’s Predictions
The overall winner Jerico Leandro Cortado tied Henning Karlsson and David Shoup for the best score on the women’s side with five points.
Final Words
Thanks to the more than 1,300 individuals who fully took part in the contest! We had a lot of fun bringing it to you and hope you had a lot of fun participating.
Sorry for the long delay in publishing these results. The contest’s decade’s old code needed to be updated this year and while the basic results functions were available shortly after the race, there was a small but persistent error in tallying the men’s point totals for some entrants. We were finally able to find and squash that bug last night. Thanks for your patience and understanding.
The Overall Contest Field
Here’s a breakdown of the number of folks tallying 50 or fewer points other the past seven years: 2009 – 46, 2010 – 107, 2011 – 274, 2012 – 446, 2013 – 694, 2014 – 683, 2015 – 807, 2016 – 509, 2017 – 208, 2018 – 1,476, 2019 – 999.
Below are the full results: